Middlebury 
W-L: ( 9- 8) PR = 95.2826
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
301 A Amherst NESCAC (10- 5, 96.0) 7-16
305 A RPI Liberty Leagu (14- 3, 96.0) 7- 8
308 H Bowdoin NESCAC (13- 3, 97.5) 7-13
311 H Union Liberty Leagu ( 4-10, 92.9) 12-11
315 A Bates NESCAC ( 9- 7, 94.0) 17-11
318 N Babson NEWMAC (13- 5, 93.2) 9-14
322 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 7- 8, 92.7) 13- 8
325 H Springfield NEWMAC (10- 7, 92.0) 20- 6
329 H Wesleyan NESCAC (12- 5, 97.1) 10- 9
402 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 7- 8, 93.8) 14- 8
405 H Colby NESCAC ( 3-10, 90.6) 15- 7
408 A St Lawrence Liberty Leagu (11- 6, 94.3) 6- 7
412 A Tufts NESCAC (18- 0, 99.9) 11-16
419 H Trinity NESCAC ( 8- 7, 94.1) 13- 9
423 A Williams NESCAC ( 7- 9, 94.0) 11-12
426 A Amherst NESCAC (10- 5, 96.0) 10- 8
503 A Tufts NESCAC (18- 0, 99.9) 10-23
510 N St Lawrence Liberty Leagu (11- 6, 94.3)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
301 A Amherst 7-16 -9 -1 - -3.94
305 A RPI 7- 8 -1 -1 0.09
308 H Bowdoin 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.09
311 H Union 12-11 1 3 -1.72
315 A Bates 17-11 6 1 ++ 4.02
318 N Babson 9-14 -5 2 --- -7.08
322 A Connecticut College 13- 8 5 2 + 2.80
325 H Springfield 20- 6 14 4 1.39
329 H Wesleyan 10- 9 1 -2 + 2.51
402 H Hamilton 14- 8 6 2 + 3.22
405 H Colby 15- 7 8 5 0.01
408 A St Lawrence 6- 7 -1 1 -1.62
412 A Tufts 11-16 -5 -5 -0.04
419 H Trinity 13- 9 4 2 + 2.45
423 A Williams 11-12 -1 1 -1.91
426 A Amherst 10- 8 2 -1 + 3.06
503 A Tufts 10-23 -13 -5 -0.04
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 N Babson 9-14 -5 2 --- -7.08
301 A Amherst 7-16 -9 -1 - -3.94
308 H Bowdoin 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.09
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
315 A Bates 17-11 6 1 ++ 4.02
322 A Connecticut College 13- 8 5 2 + 2.80
329 H Wesleyan 10- 9 1 -2 + 2.51
402 H Hamilton 14- 8 6 2 + 3.22
419 H Trinity 13- 9 4 2 + 2.45
426 A Amherst 10- 8 2 -1 + 3.06
|
Middlebury Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Adrian |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Albertus Magnus |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Albion |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Albright |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Alfred |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Alfred State |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Allegheny |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Alma |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Alvernia |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Amherst |
Amherst |
|
tied - ( 7- 4) ( 7- 4) |
Amherst |
Anderson (IN) |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Anna Maria |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Arcadia |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Augustana |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Aurora |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Averett |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Babson |
Babson |
Babson |
 
| |
Baldwin Wallace |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Bates |
Middlebury |
Middlebury |
 
| |
Beloit |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Benedictine (IL) |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Berry |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Bethany |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Bowdoin |
Bowdoin |
Bowdoin |
 
| |
Brevard |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Bridgewater |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Brockport |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Bryn Athyn |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Cairn |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Calvin |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Canton |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Capital |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Carroll |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Carthage |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Castleton |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Catholic |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Centenary (LA) |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Centenary (NJ) |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Centre |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Chatham |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Christopher Newport |
Christopher Newport |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Christopher Newport |
Clark |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Middlebury |
Clarkson |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Middlebury |
Coast Guard |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Middlebury |
Cobleskill |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Colby |
Middlebury |
Middlebury |
 
| |
Colorado College |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Concordia-Wisconsin |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Connecticut College |
Middlebury |
Middlebury |
 
| |
Cornell College |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Cortland |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Middlebury |
Curry |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Dean College |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Delaware Valley |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Delhi |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Denison |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
Middlebury |
DePauw |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
DeSales |
Middlebury |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Middlebury |
Dickinson |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Drew |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Dubuque |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Earlham |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Eastern |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Eastern Connecticut |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Edgewood |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Elizabethtown |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Elmhurst |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Elmira |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Emerson |
Middlebury |
|
Middlebury   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Emmanuel (MA) |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Endicott |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Middlebury |
Farmingdale State |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
FDU-Florham |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Franciscan |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Franklin & Marshall |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middlebury |
Geneseo |
Middlebury |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Middlebury |
Gettysburg |
Middlebury |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Middlebury |
Gordon |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Goucher |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Greensboro |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Grove City |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middlebury |
Guilford |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Gwynedd Mercy |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Hamilton |
Middlebury |
Middlebury |
 
| |
Hampden-Sydney |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Hanover |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Hartford |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Hartwick |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Haverford |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Heidelberg |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Hendrix |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Hilbert |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Hiram |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Hood |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Hope |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Huntingdon |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Husson |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Illinois Tech |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Illinois Wesleyan |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Immaculata |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Ithaca |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) |
Middlebury |
John Carroll |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Johnson & Wales |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Juniata |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Kalamazoo |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Kean |
Middlebury |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Middlebury |
Keene State |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middlebury |
Kenyon |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Keuka |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Kings |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
La Roche |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
LaGrange |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Lake Forest |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Lasell |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Lawrence |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Lebanon Valley |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Lycoming |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Lynchburg |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Maine Maritime |
Middlebury |
|
Middlebury   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Manhattanville |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Marian (WI) |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Marietta |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Maritime |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Mary Washington |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Marymount |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Marywood |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Massachusetts Maritime |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Massachusetts-Boston |
Middlebury |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Middlebury |
McDaniel |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
MCLA |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Merchant Marine |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Messiah |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Methodist |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Misericordia |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
MIT |
Middlebury |
|
Middlebury   2- 4 vs 0- 6 |
|
Mitchell |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Montclair State |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Moravian |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Morrisville |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Mount St Mary (NY) |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Mount St Vincent |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Mount Union |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
MSOE |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Muhlenberg |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Middlebury |
Muskingum |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Nazareth |
Middlebury |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Middlebury |
Neumann |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
New England College |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
New Paltz |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Nichols |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Middlebury |
North Central |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Northland |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Norwich |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Oberlin |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Oglethorpe |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Ohio Northern |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Ohio Wesleyan |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Oneonta |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middlebury |
Oswego |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Otterbein |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Penn College |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Pfeiffer |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Piedmont |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Pitt-Bradford |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Plattsburgh |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Plymouth State |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Potsdam |
Middlebury |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Middlebury |
Purchase |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Randolph |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Randolph-Macon |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Regis (MA) |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Rhodes |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
RIT |
RIT |
|
RIT   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Rivier |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Roanoke |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
Middlebury |
Roger Williams |
Middlebury |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Middlebury |
Rosemont |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
RPI |
RPI |
RPI |
 
| |
Sage |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Salem State |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Salisbury |
Salisbury |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Salisbury |
Salve Regina |
Middlebury |
|
Middlebury   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Scranton |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middlebury |
Sewanee |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Shenandoah |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Skidmore |
Middlebury |
|
tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) |
Middlebury |
Southern Maine |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Southern Virginia |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Southwestern |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Spalding |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Springfield |
Middlebury |
Middlebury |
 
| |
St John Fisher |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Middlebury |
St Joseph (CT) |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
St Josephs (LI) |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
St Josephs (ME) |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
St Lawrence |
St Lawrence |
St Lawrence |
 
| |
St Marys (MD) |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
St Vincent |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Stevens |
Middlebury |
|
Middlebury   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Stevenson |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Middlebury |
Stockton |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middlebury |
SUNY Poly |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Susquehanna |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Swarthmore |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Thiel |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Thomas |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Transylvania |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Trine |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Trinity |
Middlebury |
Middlebury |
 
| |
Tufts |
Tufts |
Tufts |
 
| |
U of New England |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Union |
Middlebury |
Middlebury |
 
| |
Ursinus |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Utica |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Middlebury |
Vassar |
Middlebury |
|
Middlebury   2- 2 vs 0- 4 |
|
Virginia Wesleyan |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Wabash |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Warren Wilson |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Washington & Jefferson |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Washington & Lee |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Middlebury |
Washington College |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Wentworth |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Wesleyan |
Middlebury |
Middlebury |
 
| |
Western Connecticut |
Middlebury |
|
Middlebury   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Western New England |
Middlebury |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) |
Middlebury |
Westminster (PA) |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Wheaton |
Middlebury |
|
Middlebury   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Widener |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Wilkes |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
William Peace |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Williams |
Williams |
Williams |
 
|
Wilmington (OH) |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Wittenberg |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
Wooster |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
York |
Middlebury |
|
 
| Middlebury |
PowerWise = 225

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.90
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Amherst (10- 5, 96.0) 7-16 -3.89 36.07 0.34 0.94 -3.32
0 A RPI (14- 3, 96.0) 7- 8 -3.87 36.09 0.34 0.94 -3.30
0 H Bowdoin (13- 3, 97.5) 7-13 -2.37 37.58 -0.34 0.94 -2.54
0 H Union ( 4-10, 92.9) 12-11 -7.00 32.95 -0.34 0.94 30.50
0 A Bates ( 9- 7, 94.0) 17-11 -5.94 34.02 0.34 0.94 32.13
0 N Babson (13- 5, 93.2) 9-14 -6.70 33.26 -0.00 0.94 -6.26
0 A Connecticut Co ( 7- 8, 92.7) 13- 8 -7.15 32.80 0.34 0.94 31.00
0 H Springfield (10- 7, 92.0) 20- 6 -7.89 32.07 -0.34 0.94 29.67
0 H Wesleyan (12- 5, 97.1) 10- 9 -2.77 37.19 -0.34 0.94 34.46
0 H Hamilton ( 7- 8, 93.8) 14- 8 -6.06 33.90 -0.34 0.94 31.39
0 H Colby ( 3-10, 90.6) 15- 7 -9.27 30.69 -0.34 0.94 28.38
0 A St Lawrence (11- 6, 94.3) 6- 7 -5.58 34.38 0.34 0.94 -4.90
0 A Tufts (18- 0, 99.9) 11-16 -0.00 39.96 0.34 0.94 -0.32
0 H Trinity ( 8- 7, 94.1) 13- 9 -5.83 34.12 -0.34 0.94 31.60
0 A Williams ( 7- 9, 94.0) 11-12 -5.87 34.09 0.34 0.94 -5.17
0 A Amherst (10- 5, 96.0) 10- 8 -3.89 36.07 0.34 0.94 34.04
0 A Tufts (18- 0, 99.9) 10-23 -0.00 39.96 0.34 0.94 -0.32
------
257.05
|
winning pts = 283.1767 losing points = -26.1283
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------